Friday, March 01 2013, 9:45PM
“Too early to call in my opinion: By-Elections are usually used to make a protest of some kind against the incumbent government; Eastleigh saw the decline in vote share of both the Lib-Dems and Tories with both parties losing out to UKIP (why anyone would vote for them I do not know). But out of the three main national parties Labour have never held that seat, far from it, so I think the electorate had nowhere much to turn. Note too the typically low turn-out that was 52.7%, down from 69.3% at the 2010 general election.”
Friday, March 01 2013, 10:01PM
“Yes CallingtonFox, I agree with all of that. I don't know why anyone would vote for UKIP either but they have a certain following in Cornwall. In fact their description is one of the few things Cameron has got right.
A possibility is that UKIP will make a deal with the Tories at the next GE. After that thought I think I have to go and lie down for 10 minutes.”
Saturday, March 02 2013, 1:07PM
“CT. "I have to admit, that is a very real possibility, not a nice thought is it?" No it isn't. However, in politics there are occasions when a political party must make love to the devil to get elected. It gives new meaning to the saying, "Love conquers all", and, "Opposites attract"”
Saturday, March 02 2013, 1:39PM
“This must be a message to labour and the consertives, UKIP are a serious threat. Are they going to be the party that will be upsetting the balance of control come the next election, we could see some very interesting policy's from both parties off the back this result as they attempt to gain the support they seem to be loosing.”
“Effect of Eastleigh By-election in Cornwall
Cornwall has 6 parliamentary constituencies, 3 Con and 3 LD. Some very marginal, some fairly marginal. Up to yesterday I would have expected all 6 to end up Con at the next GE in 2015, due to poor LD polls throughout GB. However, the Eastleigh by-election result may throw this prediction out as both LDs and UKIP are quite strong in Cornwall. Eastleigh has the similarity to Cornwall in that Labour don't do that well here. What do others think?”