After the freeze, a warmer year awaits

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Saturday, January 03, 2009
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This is Cornwall

THE Westcountry has endured sub-zero temperatures over the first few days and nights of the New Year – but forecasters predict 2009 could be one of the warmest years on record.

Exeter started New Year's Eve with a knee-knocking minus 5.1C at 6am and last night, temperatures in the city were expected to be minus 4C.

Despite the cold, the Westcountry is expected to have higher temperatures than other parts of the country this weekend. While Barnstaple shivers today with 2C, Plymouth is expected to see a slightly more bearable 3C while the people of Newquay will enjoy slightly warmer temperatures of up to 5C by 3pm.

A Met Office spokesman said: "There is a likelihood that the further east you go in the region, temperatures are likely to get colder, but then there are 200 miles between the most easterly points and Land's End.

"The difference in temperature is simply due to the fact that the further west you go, the more benefit you gain from the warm air off the Atlantic. It really is that simple."

Tomorrow's weather will see a slight increase in temperatures. But again, the further west you are, the more bearable it will be. Newquay will experience 6C, dropping in Plymouth to 5C, but it will be significantly colder in Exeter at just 3C.

But experts are predicting 2009 will be one of the five warmest years on record.

Despite 2008 being largely a washout for the Westcountry, the Met Office believes this year will kick-start a further rise in global temperatures because the continued cooling of huge areas of the tropical Pacific Ocean, a phenomenon known as La Nina, will be less strong than in the last three years.

According to climate scientists at the Met Office and the University of East Anglia, the global temperature is forecast to be more than 0.4C above the long-term average. This would make 2009 warmer than the year just gone and the warmest since 2005.

Professor Chris Folland, of the Met Office's Hadley Centre said: "Phenomena such as El Nino and La Nina have a significant influence on global surface temperature. Warmer conditions in 2009 are expected because the strong cooling influence of the recent powerful La Nina has given way to a weaker La Nina. Further warming to record levels is likely once a moderate El Nino develops."

During La Nina, cold waters rise to the surface to cool the ocean and land surface temperatures. The 2009 forecast indicates a rapid return of global temperature to the long-term warming trend.

Professor Phil Jones, director of the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, said: "The fact that 2009, like 2008, will not break records does not mean that global warming has gone away."

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4 Comments

  • Profile image for This is Cornwall

    by Anthony, Cornwall

    Tuesday, January 13 2009, 1:24AM

    “Kris, you sound like a typical global warming fanatic. You state "....but it has never heated up as much as it is now." You are quite wrong. In medieval times it was warmer than now. You also state "Climate change is massively due to human activity", but did you know that a volcanic eruption will produce vast amounts of greenhouse gas? I think your team "massively" is highly exaggerated. I suppose you are one of those who are now in a state of panic about bovine flatulence! If I were you, I should calm down. Realistically, there is more chance of the planet being endangered by a meteorite or a comet than by global warming - and that is but a slim chance.”

  • Profile image for This is Cornwall

    by Kris Akabusi, Cornwall

    Monday, January 05 2009, 1:48PM

    “Of course the Earth heats up and cools down as part of a natural cycle, but it has never heated up as much as it is now. Global warming / climate change is massively due to human activity, and it is up to us to try and reduce our carbon footprint and negative effect on the environment.

    The UK is due to get a lot colder than previously, due to melting polar ice caps pushing the Gulf Stream further south, so yes Suzanne, an ice age possible for us in Northern Europe.

    People who say global warming is made up to tax more people are either a) incredibly gullible to be taken in by conspiracy theorists, or b) love to try and be fashionable by taking an 'alternative' standpoint. Unfortunately for them, and the planet - they are wrong.”

  • Profile image for This is Cornwall

    by Suzanne Jones, UK

    Monday, January 05 2009, 1:33PM

    “We could plunge into the ice age and the experts would still say there was a trend towards global warming. It is all a myth. The earth's temperature warms and cools as part of its natural cycle, simple as that. Don't get me wrong, I am considerate of our environment and try to do everything not to pollute it myself but the phenomenon of global warming is just an excuse to tax people more!!!

    Let's hope for some better weather next year but, whatever year we get some better weather, it will be down to global warming, of course!”

  • Profile image for This is Cornwall

    by peter, United Kingdom

    Monday, January 05 2009, 9:37AM

    “and they will say the same in 2010, 2011, 2012 and on and on till they get it right we will wait and see ?????????”

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